The book presents a view of the historical process as a process of arogenesis: paradoxical, non-linear, accelerating and aggravating, i.e. radically changing its behavior and, accordingly, a mathematical model. The usual historical events from this point of view are not observed, but the fundamental laws of history are being discovered, making their way through historical accidents, distracting the attention of historians. Recommended For students, undergraduates, graduate students and specialists interested in mathematical and computer modeling of complex systems and social processes.