We will discard the impossible options of the future, we will mark the dreams of the current rulers: that the Russian Federation will be able to quietly fade away, sticking to the raw material "pipe" and that suddenly an "orange revolution" will happen - in itself it is impossible: people are not ready to give up their freedoms for a different life. What remains? The most realistic option: the strongest internal crisis, which is superimposed on the global system situation. Occupation of Russia, "cutting" it into zones of influence and "sovereign lomti." Protracted guerrilla warfare. Russian deaths. How can we parry the threat? Only an innovative breakthrough. No one will come to the aid of the Russians.